Theoretical Economics

econ.TH

Contract theory, game theory, mechanism design, and social choice.

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Silent War of Attrition Maximizes Targeted-Loss Exposure

A linear-program dual shows that assigning revenue-equivalent payments to losing states reaches the highest stress-test exposure for every bidder count $n \geq 2$.

Aug 22, 20265 min2607.29518

Copyright Extremes Undercut AI Training Markets

A Stackelberg and dynamic training model identifies two market failures and a collective intermediary that can restore efficient creation incentives.

Jul 28, 20265 min2606.12260

Stable Matching Looks Inefficient in Large Random Markets

A random-market proof links Deferred Acceptance to a giant envy component, implying Pareto improvements for almost every student asymptotically.

Jul 28, 20265 min2407.19831

Ocean Heat Model Reframes Greenhouse Gas Cost Estimates

OPTiMEM ties weather-damage projections to ocean heat content and turns carbon pricing into discount-rate phase spaces rather than single SCC values.

Jul 28, 20265 min2602.03009

Bayesian Costs Complicate Price Discrimination but Keep It Computable

A discounted-flow polytope over reduced fragments yields polynomial-time optimization of any linear seller-buyer welfare objective.

Jul 28, 20265 min2607.12615

Expectiles Reframe Disappointment Aversion in Savage Choice

New axioms connect Gul’s model to asymmetric least squares, yielding explicit representations, elicitation formulas, and temporal-difference learning foundations.

Jul 28, 20264 min2508.05541

Cosine Similarity Measures Agreement in Signal Interpretation

A cone-inclusion order over pairs of subjective models yields a prior-independent comparison and uniquely selects cosine similarity under rotation invariance.

Jul 13, 20264 min2607.05558

Auction Design for LLM Marketplaces Achieves Near-Optimal Welfare

A modified second-price mechanism ensures truthful quality reporting from competing language model providers.

Jun 5, 20249 min2406.01234