Economics

Theoretical and empirical economics, including econometrics and mechanism design.

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Offline Learning Enables Bus Holding Without Service Exploration

Offline-GMAC synthesizes holding interventions from logged GPS trajectories and supplies a 1-Wasserstein distributional bound without probing active bus service.

Oct 15, 20264 min2610.14632

Lower AI Use Targets Reduce Gaming and Raise Sales

A staggered cut from 200 to 100 monthly AI queries removed mostly low-value activity while leaving work-related use intact and increasing sales by 7%.

Oct 12, 20264 min2609.32859

Third-Party Gift Cards Show Higher Incrementality

A transferability-based estimator combines censored purchase records with roughly 26,000 experimental observations to isolate incremental revenue across four distribution channels.

Oct 8, 20265 min2610.08558

Family Genetics Tie Emotional Stability to Economic Outcomes

A within-family polygenic design linked to 19 years of Dutch tax records finds that emotional-stability propensity predicts higher earnings and wealth.

Oct 6, 20264 min2610.06088

DML Quantifies Representation Error in Causal Estimates

Cross-fitted DML turns AI-learned controls into an inferential target, separating valid representation-dependent estimates from conditions for causal coverage.

Oct 3, 20264 min2610.01935

AI Matching Raises Refugee Employment in Swiss Trial

Machine-learned, quota-constrained canton recommendations increased three-year employment exposure by 2.2 percentage points without shifting refugees toward stronger labor markets.

Oct 1, 20264 min2609.35448

Scientists Report Seven Hours Saved Each Week With AI

Triangulating 15 million Gemini interactions, 2,600 specialized models, and a 600-plus scientist survey links AI use to nearly seven weekly hours saved.

Sep 26, 20264 min2609.28504

Housing Upgrades Lift Nearby Prices Only Locally

A staggered difference-in-differences design finds that Singapore’s public-housing upgrades add 11.5% to treated resale prices and roughly 2% nearby.

Sep 21, 20264 min2609.21478

Interim Reviews Create Incentives Beyond Terminal Pay

A dynamic contracting model turns future assignments and career opportunities into performance-contingent rewards when cash compensation cannot do the job alone.

Sep 13, 20265 min2609.07871

Surgical Hubs Raise Physician Productivity by 14.5%

Ring-fenced elective facilities increased cost-weighted output per physician input while cutting average waits by 10 days, with larger gains from more complete separation.

Sep 11, 20264 min2609.10380