Economics

Theoretical and empirical economics, including econometrics and mechanism design.

Sort:

CALM Cuts Trial-Estimate Variance While Preserving Validity

LLM counterfactual predictions are calibrated and cross-fitted into causal estimators, lowering variance across 300 BRIGHTEN-based simulation runs.

Aug 29, 20265 min2510.05545

Audit Cuts Green Patent Count by a Quarter

An error-as-signal audit combines PatentSBERTa disagreements with two-model climate-function judgments, reducing the Y02 estimate from 592,387 to 441,468 patents.

Aug 27, 20265 min2608.23420

Better Netflix Recommendations Shift Viewing Toward the Middle Tail

An 8.5-million-user Netflix experiment finds that improved ranking raises engagement while moving recommendation-driven consumption from superstars toward moderately popular titles.

Aug 24, 20264 min2608.21274

Silent War of Attrition Maximizes Targeted-Loss Exposure

A linear-program dual shows that assigning revenue-equivalent payments to losing states reaches the highest stress-test exposure for every bidder count $n \geq 2$.

Aug 22, 20265 min2607.29518

ChatGPT Exposure Polarizes Political Slant While Reducing Hostility

A difference-in-differences study of 6.88 million Reddit contributions links probable LLM assistance to wider ideological separation but lower toxicity.

Aug 17, 20264 min2601.20238

Enterprise AI Use Spreads Across Roles but Varies Widely

Linked ChatGPT Enterprise records trace adoption, worker activity, and task use across more than 1,500 organizations and 17 million messages.

Aug 14, 20265 min2608.12236

Country Factors Dominate Global Trial Participation Inequality

Across 78,117 randomized trials, country-level factors explain 88.9% of variation in participation, outweighing disease burden and temporal effects.

Aug 9, 20263 min2601.04660

Debiased Ridge Estimates Causal Effects in Panel Data

Individual ridge regressions approximate nonseparable potential outcomes while reducing shrinkage bias in large-T panels with many price controls.

Aug 1, 20265 min2607.28291

Latent Propensity Scores Expose Entry Bias in Demand Estimation

A finite-mixture correction models hidden market types across 19,544 airline markets, yielding higher price elasticities and lower inferred markups than 2SLS.

Jul 31, 20265 min2308.14196

Polyads Reduce Bias in Sparse Multi-Way Networks

Conditioning on local polyad orbits removes fixed effects, delivering near-95% coverage where PPML intervals collapse in sparse simulations.

Jul 29, 20263 min2512.02203 Code available